On October 22, the Association for Financial Markets in Europe (“AFME“) published a press release on avoiding a Brexit cliff edge in financial services, these concerns were reiterated in a letter to the European Commission, urging the Commission along with member states and regulators to provide steps that will be taken to address these risks. In particular, it outlined three risks that need addressing urgently:
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Continued access to central counterparties (“CCPs“) – It has been suggested that EU27 banks could move positions to EU CCPs, however this seems unrealistic in the time frame and it is questionable whether the market alone could supply sufficient liquidity for such significant shifts of positions between CCPs. Also, there is currently no available alternative for clearing some products in the EU27. In the absence of clarity, there is a risk that UK CCPs may have to start delivering termination notices to their EU27 clearing participants as early as December 2018.
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Continued servicing of existing contracts – firms should be able to continue to perform contractual obligations under existing OTC derivatives contracts in most member states, however it might not be possible to perform essential “life cycle” events (such as exercising options or transferring collateral) and transferring legacy clients onto new contracts ahead of Brexit would be hugely challenging, especially in a no-deal scenario.
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Cross border data transfers – the ability to transfer data is vital to support cross-border business and essential for maintaining day to day operations.